NASCAR at Indianapolis odds, predictions: 2020 Big Machine Hand Sanitizer 400 picks from unbiased model

Indianapolis Motor Speedway may be best known for the Indianapolis 500, but since 1994 the NASCAR Cup Series has been coming to The Brickyard. On Sunday, four drivers with past victories at Indianapolis will be in the 2020 Big Machine Hand Sanitizer 400 starting grid when the green flag drops at 4 p.m. ET. Jimmie Johnson, who would have been trying for a fifth win at Indianapolis Motor Speedway, had to bow out of the 2020 Brickyard 400 starting lineup after testing positive for COVID-19.

Defending NASCAR Cup Series champion Kyle Busch is sitting at 9-2 on the 2020 NASCAR at Indianapolis odds board, just behind co-favorites Kevin Harvick and Denny Hamlin at 4-1. Before locking in any 2020 Big Machine Hand Sanitizer 400 picks, be sure to see the latest 2020 NASCAR at Indianapolis predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven model at SportsLine. 

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.

The model began the 2020 NASCAR season by picking Denny Hamlin to win his second consecutive Daytona 500 at 10-1. It got off to a hot start on its NASCAR picks following the coronavirus hiatus as well, calling seven of the top 10 drivers at The Real Heroes 400 and the Toyota 500 at Darlington. 

Using the model, McClure also recommended an outright play on winner Brad Keselowski at 13-1 as one of his best bets at Bristol. The model also called Kevin Harvick’s win at Atlanta and nailed a whopping nine top-10 finishers in that race. McClure also used the model to lock in an outright bet on Hamlin winning at 10-1 at Miami. And in both races at Pocono, two of the model’s top three racers finished first and second. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model simulated NASCAR at Indianapolis 2020 on Sunday, July 5 10,000 times. Head here to see the complete projected leaderboard.

Top 2020 Big Machine Hand Sanitizer 400 predictions

For the 2020 Big Machine Hand Sanitizer 400, the model is high on Joey Logano, even though he’s a 12-1 long shot in the latest 2020 NASCAR at Indianapolis odds. He’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. The 2018 NASCAR Cup Series champion has already won twice on the 2020 NASCAR schedule, and last Sunday’s run at Pocono was the first race in which he didn’t lead a lap since the Real Heroes 400 at Darlington on May 17.

Logano has been extremely successful at Indianapolis Motor Speedway, though, finishing in the top 10 in seven of his 11 career starts there. The 29-year-old finished second at the 2019 Big Machine Vodka 400 and has now led laps in five of his last seven starts at Indianapolis, with six top-10 finishes during that span.

And a massive shocker: Martin Truex Jr., one of the top Vegas favorites, stumbles big-time and doesn’t even crack the top five. There are far better values in this loaded field. The 27-time NASCAR Cup Series winner has struggled since his win at Martinsville, recording just one top-10 finish in the last four races.

History indicates that The Brickyard won’t be where he breaks out of his slump. Truex has just three top-10 performances there in 15 races, leading to an average finish position of 21.33. He finished 27th at Indianapolis last year and ended up outside the top 30 the two prior years due to brake issues and an accident. The model has taken all of that into account and has identified him as one of the 2020 NASCAR at Indianapolis favorites to fade this week. 

How to make 2020 Big Machine Hand Sanitizer 400 picks

The model is also targeting four other drivers with 2020 NASCAR at Indianapolis odds of 12-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag, including a massive long shot. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can only see them here.

So who wins Sunday’s 2020 Big Machine Hand Sanitizer 400? And which long shots stun NASCAR? Check out the latest odds below and then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected 2020 NASCAR at Indianapolis leaderboard, all from the model that has crushed its NASCAR picks and nailed the Daytona 500. 

2020 NASCAR at Indianapolis odds (via William Hill)

Kevin Harvick 4-1
Denny Hamlin 4-1
Kyle Busch 9-2
Martin Truex Jr. 15-2
Brad Keselowski 9-1
Joey Logano 12-1
Ryan Blaney 12-1
Chase Elliott 15-1
Erik Jones 22-1
Kurt Busch 28-1
Alex Bowman 30-1
Aric Almirola 30-1
William Byron 35-1
Matt DiBenedetto 40-1
Clint Bowyer 40-1
Christopher Bell 75-1
Tyler Reddick 100-1
Ryan Newman 100-1
Austin Dillon 125-1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 125-1
Matt Kenseth 125-1
Chris Buescher 300-1
Bubba Wallace 300-1
Cole Custer 300-1
John Hunter Nemechek 1000-1
Ryan Preece 1500-1
Michael McDowell 2000-1
Ty Dillon 2000-1
Daniel Suarez 2500-1
Timmy Hill 5000-1
Brennan Poole 5000-1
Quin Houff 5000-1
J.J. Yeley 5000-1
Corey Lajoie 5000-1
Joey Gase 5000-1
Garrett Smithley 5000-1